All of Nate Silver's State-Level Polling Predictions Proved True

This actually shows that Silver is poorly calibrated. if he were accurately calibrated, 80% of his 80%-confidence predictions would come true, 50% of his 50%-confidence predictions would come true, etc. But 100% of his >50%-confidence predictions came true. In the future, he should be more sure of his predictions.

Source: http://rss.slashdot.org/~r/Slashdot/slashdotScience/~3/MZqESkX4Kys/all-of-nate-silvers-state-level-polling-predictions-proved-true

diplo rodney atkins fergie one republic michael dyer suspended new years ball drop new years rockin eve